Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit | Elextric's commentslogin

Ideally, one should explore all possibilities. It is remarkable how far "merely" predicting the next word has taken us.


That was constant progress with measurable goals, not "big things are coming decade from now" every decade.


I can’t take it too seriously. It’s peak oil all over again.




Let me reframe it. Among these trillions of people, there will be many who are 99% similar to you. Wouldn't you want that version of yourself to live a great life?


Sure! It's just not actually reasonably possible to predict what will lead to that outcome, whereas I can sorta (badly) predict what will make me happy tomorrow, my wife happy next week, and what will best improve conditions for my current fellow citizens of the world.


By that kind of logic, I’m actually a Boltzmann brain floating alone in an infinite void, so I don’t have to worry about anyone but myself.


You can certainly rationalize anything, but I fail to see what help that is to us.

"The great subverter of Pyrrhonism [radical skepticism] is action, and employment, and the occupations of common life. [...] I dine, I play a game of back-gammon, I converse, and am merry with my friends; and when after three or four hour's amusement, I wou'd return to these speculations, they appear so cold, and strain'd, and ridiculous, that I cannot find in my heart to enter into them any farther."

Hume


> Wouldn't you want that version of yourself to live a great life?

The biggest positive change you can make, even for future generations, is to uplevel the people who are alive today.


tldr: it's impossible to know for sure which choice is the absolute best.

In a sense, I get why they write verbosely, but...

The first and most important task of our lives is to determine what our goal is.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alfred_North_Whitehead#God


yes


first telephone vs first iphone


Even if we achieve 2x every 3-4 years, isn't it still massive in absolute ?


Yes, exponential growth gets quite large quite fast. Think about how a $300 graphics card today competes against one from 15 years ago. They're orders of magnitude faster, more memory, etc.


Imagine the paradox: holding the fate of the world in your hands, but still feeling under threat from a military alliance like NATO


Easily imaginable: every country with big enough nuclear arsenal could be viewed as a country holding the fate of the world in its hands.

But since there can be multiple such countries at the same time and since no one has stopped developing arms/tech even further - I wouldn't call it a paradox when one nuclear country feels threatened by another group of both nuclear and non-nuclear countries coming closer and closer to its borders.


The difference between a rational person and a narcissist is this: one recognizes the sufficiency of world-destroying power, the other will always demand more, regardless of the absurdity.


Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: