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Who is "we?" The market can stay irrational for longer than you can stay solvent.


The we could... quote was from the article and refers to the dear readers without presuming to know what they think - it's an exhortation.

Stock markets behave mostly irrationally in the short term (see Random Walk Down Wall Street), but that doesn't mean you shouldn't attempt to ignore the irrationality and get a little closer to the objective truth - in this case by valuing companies based on what they earn and could earn, not what someone else paid for them or might pay for them.

Depends what you're after I guess - if you are trying to make lots of money in a few days/weeks/years with borrowed money, you'd absolutely have to attempt to predict the irrationality of the market or go bust. On a long time scale with money which is not borrowed/required, you can afford to take a longer view based on profits.




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